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Risk factors for sepsis and endocarditis and long-term survival following coronary artery bypass grafting.

Toumpoulis IK, Anagnostopoulos CE, Toumpoulis SK, De Rose JJ, Swistel DG

Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, St. Luke's-Roosevelt Hospital Center, 1111 Amsterdam Avenue, New York, NY 10025, USA.

We sought to determine risk factors for sepsis and/or endocarditis (S/E) and to identify their impact on long-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We studied 3760 consecutive patients who underwent isolated CABG from 1992 to 2002. Patients with CABG without S/E were compared with those who developed S/E. Long-term survival data (mean follow-up 5.2 years) were obtained from the National Death Index. Groups were compared by Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier survival plots. The propensity for S/E was determined by logistic regression analysis and each patient with S/E was matched to one patient without S/E. Thirty-six patients (0.96%) developed S/E. Independent predictors for S/E were increased age (odds ratio [OR] 1.05 per year, 95% Confidence interval [95% CI] 1.00-1.09; p = 0.040) and the development of other major complications after CABG such as deep sternal wound infection (OR 30.80, 95% CI 9.50-99.82; p < 0.001), gastrointestinal complications (OR 19.48, 95% CI 7.14-53.18; p < 0.001), renal failure (OR 15.18, 95% CI 4.42-52.06; p < 0.001), intraoperative stroke (OR 13.11, 95% CI 4.81-35.69; p < 0.001) and respiratory failure (OR 12.95, 95% CI 5.69-29.45; p < 0.001). After adjustment for pre-, intra- and postoperative factors, the adjusted hazard ratio of long-term mortality for patients with S/E was 3.33 (95% CI 2.17-5.10; p < 0.001). There was no difference in 30-day mortality between matched groups (25.0% vs. 19.4% in patients without S/E, p = 0.778), however patients without S/E had better 5-year survival rate (52.7 +/- 8.7% vs. 16.2 +/- 6.2%; p = 0.0004). We have identified risk factors for S/E following CABG and we found that there was increased mortality in patients with S/E during a 10-year follow-up period.

Published 1 August 2005 in World J Surg, 29(5): 621-7; discussion 627-8.
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